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Tesla Ignored the Playbook

The industry bet on hardware. Tesla bet on better inference - and the results are starting to show up

April 21, 2026EverVests Insight
Tesla Ignored the Playbook

Waymo has 3,000 vehicles. Zoox has about 100. Tesla has roughly 580 discovered vehicles operating across its markets. By every traditional metric — fleet size, sensor redundancy, years of commercial operation — Tesla should be getting crushed in the autonomous vehicle race.

And yet.

According to the latest NHTSA data released this month, Tesla’s entire FSD-equipped fleet recorded zero incidents during March 2026. Not one. Not even a fender-ben...

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